Of ISW (8:30 p.m. ET):
Order of battle (restricted) within the Lyman salient/pocket.
Supply: navy landaccessed 9/30/2022, 6:45 p.m. Pacific.
Ukrainian forces will possible seize or encompass Lyman inside the subsequent 72 hours. Russian forces continued to withdraw from positions round Lyman on September 30 as Ukrainian forces continued to encompass Russian troops within the space. Donetsk Folks’s Republic (DNR) officers and Russian battle correspondents mentioned Russian forces nonetheless management Lyman however have withdrawn from their positions at Drobysheve (about 6 km northwest of Lyman) and Yampil (about 13 km southeast of Lyman). Russian sources claimed that Russian forces nonetheless management a street from Lyman to Torske, whereas Ukrainian forces have lower off the Drobysheve-Torske street within the Stavky area. Russian sources additionally famous the growing exercise of Ukrainian reconnaissance and sabotage teams on the Svatove-Torske freeway northeast of Lyman after apparently crossing the Zherebets River. Geotagged photographs additionally confirmed Ukrainian artillery hitting retreating Russian forces close to Torske. Some Russian milbloggers have claimed that Ukrainian forces have crossed the Siverskyi Donets River at Dronivka and at the moment are working within the forests south of Kreminna. Russian sources have uniformly famous that Ukrainian artillery continues to interdict the one remaining escape route of Russian forces on the Kreminna-Torske street.
I am curious to understand how JohnH now attracts up the navy toll, a month after its preliminary skepticism concerning the Ukrainian offensive.